编辑“︁金”︁（章节）

=== 長期價格趨勢 ===
由2001年4月黃金美元價格已經是原本價格的三倍<ref>{{cite web|url=http://kitco.com/LFgif/au3650nyb.gif |title=黃金美元價格 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20110521193658/http://www.kitco.com/LFgif/au3650nyb.gif |archivedate=2011-05-21 }}</ref>，引起了長期的熊市（或稱為{{le|商品大蕭條|2000s commodities boom}}）已經完結，而[[牛市]]已經回歸的推測<ref>[http://www.lewrockwell.com/thornton/thornton18.html A Bull Market in Gold – Technically Speaking by Mark Thornton<!-- Bot generated title -->] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080724035442/http://www.lewrockwell.com/thornton/thornton18.html |date=2008-07-24 }}</ref><ref>
{{Cite web |url=http://www.ameinfo.com/75511.html |title=Gold starts 2006 well, but this is not a 25-year high! {{!}} Financial Planning<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=2008-07-20 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090321064338/http://www.ameinfo.com/75511.html |archive-date=2009-03-21 |dead-url=yes }} {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090321064338/http://www.ameinfo.com/75511.html |date=2009-03-21 }}
</ref>。在2008年3月，黃金價格上升至超過US$1000<ref>
{{Cite web |url=http://www.lbma.org.uk/2008dailygold.htm |title=2008 London Gold Fixings<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=2008-07-20 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090210035134/http://lbma.org.uk/2008dailygold.htm |archive-date=2009-02-10 |dead-url=yes }} {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090210035134/http://lbma.org.uk/2008dailygold.htm |date=2009-02-10 }}
</ref>，但其[[實質對名目價值]]仍然低於1980年1月21日$850/oz的高位很多。以通脹計算的話，1980年的高位等於以2007年美元計的US$2400。在上一個世紀，主要經濟危機如[[大蕭條]]、[[第二次世界大戰]]、[[第一次石油危機|第一次]]及[[第二次石油危機]]令原本已經有經過通脹調整的{{le|道指和黃金比值|Dow/Gold ratio}}下降很多，大部分情況都會低於4很多<ref>{{cite web|url=http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/8/84/Longtermdowgoldlogtr1800.png|title=200年來的道指和黃金比值|deadurl=yes|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20080709071244/http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/8/84/Longtermdowgoldlogtr1800.png|archivedate=2008-07-09}}</ref>。在此艱難的時間，投資者會透過投資貴金屬特別是金和銀等來保障其資產。從2001年起的長期趨勢顯示此情況已再次出現。其主要原因在於歐洲<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.ecb.int/press/pr/stats/md/html/index.en.html |title=Monetary developments in the euro area<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=2008-07-26 |archive-date=2013-07-28 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130728222303/http://www.ecb.int/press/pr/stats/md/html/index.en.html |dead-url=no }}</ref>及美國<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/h6/HIST/h6hista.htm |title=Federal Reserve: Money stock measures<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=2008-07-26 |archive-date=2021-05-14 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210514214504/https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/h6/HIST/h6hista.htm |dead-url=no }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data |title=Money supply in the USA, alternate data series<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=2008-07-26 |archive-date=2009-10-08 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091008044002/http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data |dead-url=no }}</ref>[[貨幣供給]]的急速上升，即{{le|貨幣膨脹|monetary inflation}}與美國的高{{le|雙赤字|double deficit}}<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2187rank.html |title=CIA: Rank order - current account balance <!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=2008-07-26 |archive-date=2008-05-14 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080514030808/https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2187rank.html |dead-url=yes }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.spiegel.de/img/0,1020,1034726,00.jpg |title=Double deficit in the USA <!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=2008-07-26 |archive-date=2012-01-29 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120129020125/http://www.spiegel.de/img/0,1020,1034726,00.jpg |dead-url=no }}</ref>。此嚴重的經濟問題令[[2007年次級房屋信貸風暴]]、高[[通貨膨脹]]和主要貨幣特別是[[美元]]對[[日用品]]大幅的[[折舊]]發生。